Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 11.105199 13.004662 15.082333 17.517187 20.285625 23.328493 26.918957
2025-07-06 7.533980 9.990427 12.966696 16.807157 21.596907 27.336634 34.694085
2025-07-13 6.164784 8.998420 12.709186 17.851319 24.707366 33.439319 45.290750
2025-07-20 5.216045 8.258021 12.508831 18.753438 27.538032 39.277011 55.932879
2025-07-27 4.420947 7.532712 12.140760 19.266342 29.765655 44.382205 65.909729
2025-08-03 3.717835 6.789444 11.591139 19.374504 31.334740 48.605966 74.897511
2025-08-10 3.063622 5.989091 10.809514 18.984133 32.054048 51.584362 82.237139
2025-08-17 2.523889 5.273504 10.040688 18.480613 32.488237 54.096944 88.981115
2025-08-24 2.077663 4.635986 9.297613 17.900304 32.695059 56.213352 95.193481
2025-08-31 1.682371 4.014385 8.482441 17.076022 32.382056 57.435726 100.032108
2025-09-07 1.503682 3.793553 8.365773 17.460148 34.120817 62.035275 110.461799
2025-09-14 1.338820 3.569261 8.206999 17.737647 35.677206 66.411276 120.758910
2025-09-21 1.115745 3.187123 7.715716 17.401158 36.240524 69.391324 129.366003
2025-09-28 0.893298 2.756012 7.059958 16.673445 36.044641 71.116618 136.116829
2025-10-05 0.834688 2.722189 7.258736 17.706429 39.282989 79.125241 154.200841
2025-10-12 0.772011 2.662233 7.387102 18.601489 42.325286 86.978926 172.479368
2025-10-19 0.693456 2.537704 7.342362 19.110666 44.634016 93.629702 188.994245
2025-10-26 0.604476 2.357971 7.131708 19.218047 46.121295 98.830184 203.170195
2025-11-02 0.506448 2.120379 6.730986 18.830410 46.523983 101.972689 213.717843
2025-11-09 0.419912 1.891853 6.309392 18.330431 46.624012 104.511546 223.254737
2025-11-16 0.345090 1.677476 5.882969 17.754219 46.487316 106.549607 231.926624
2025-11-23 0.275936 1.456796 5.390980 16.935789 45.709767 107.216041 237.950627
2025-11-30 0.248834 1.394173 5.359413 17.317183 47.735512 113.770327 255.891137